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Race for top 4

Here's the current situation

4 teams for 2 places.

Arsenal
City
United
West ham

Remaining fixtures...

Week 37

Norwich vs United
West Ham vs Swansea
City vs Arsenal

Week ?

West Ham vs United

Week 38

United vs Ballmouth
Arsenal vs Villa
Swansea vs City
Stoke vs West Ham


Situation looks like this. If City beat Arsenal then they will probably get 3rd place as i reckon they'll beat Swansea. If Arsenal beat City and West Ham win then WH become slight favourites for top 4 IMO as they'd have it all in their hands. Same for us I guess but we'd need to beat Norwich to go into Tuesdays game ahead of West Ham.

Whatever happens on Sunday Arsenal will likely get top 4 as they just need 3 more points for top 4.

If we fail to beat Norwich tomorrow it's all over IMO.

comment by Elvis (U7425)

posted on 6/5/16

City/draw is double chance. What is the point of your question? There are 3 possibly outcomes to the game and the draw is the least likely in the eyes of the bookies and also going off the fact that city have only drawn 1 at home all season. Their form suggests a draw is the most unlikely result.

posted on 6/5/16

A draw is often the least likely result at the bookies but only someone who doesn't understand logic and common sense would pick an away win as more likely than a draw, especially as that result suits both sides.

City are the better side and are at home. Them winning is the most likeliest result, then them dropping points but not losing is next likely then them dropping points and losing is the 3rd most likely result.

comment by Elvis (U7425)

posted on 6/5/16

Robb the other poster said that the bookies had the draw as the most likely result. I said that wasnt true and you asked how I worked that our and i pointed to the bookies odds. The bookies don't have the draw as the most likely. What are you honestly arguing about? The other poster was wrong. No big deal.

comment by Elvis (U7425)

posted on 6/5/16

A draw doesn't really suit city either.

posted on 7/5/16

comment by Elvis (U7425)
posted 37 seconds ago
A draw doesn't really suit city either.
----------------------------------------------------------------------

And this is one of the reasons why I think City will win. They need it that bit more than Arsenal. They're also a better side.

posted on 7/5/16

The problem for Man City will be getting past Petr Cech if he plays. He has been by far the best goalkeeper in the league this season in a team whose defence is near non existent and midfield that are more interesting in going forward then defending. Arsenal play a you attack we attack game so it will be interesting to see if Cech plays. I think Cech has been on beast mode recently so if he can keep another clean sheet I won't mind

posted on 7/5/16

If Arsenal beat City and West Ham win then WH become slight favourites for top 4 IMO as they'd have it all in their hands.
..........
0-2 to Swansea City 35 minutes gone.

posted on 7/5/16

1-4 it finished. I just hope Bilic side don't go for it as much as they did last time.

posted on 7/5/16

comment by Elvis (U7425)
posted 18 hours, 34 minutes ago
Robb the other poster said that the bookies had the draw as the most likely result. I said that wasnt true and you asked how I worked that our and i pointed to the bookies odds. The bookies don't have the draw as the most likely. What are you honestly arguing about? The other poster was wrong. No big deal.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
It absolutely was the case when I looked on oddschecker mate; a draw had the shortest odds looking across the bookies they survey at the time.

I am prepared to believe the odds have changed. It happens

posted on 7/5/16

Checking now, it looks like the bookies have all taken a lot of money on the massives. They've shortened to clear favourites.

Still not buying that though. I think it'll be a close game.

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