....have analysed a couple of key stats so far this season.
In terms of teams creating the most clear cut chances in the premier league - We are 1st.
In terms of teams limiting opposing teams to the fewest clear cut chances - we are 2nd.
So great news in terms of our creativity and our team defensively.
However....considering teams are scoring more and conceding less than us, perhaps there is a concern about our finishing and Kasper’s contribution. I thought perhaps I was being harsh on Schmeichel at first as maybe lots of ‘half-chances’ were just being clinically finished by opponents, but further stats show that he is high up on the list of, ultimately, conceding from attempts he shouldn’t have.
Now, stats can be misleading and this isn’t me laying into our finishing or goalkeeping but I thought it was interesting.
...some half empty half full ponderings really.
Our friends at Opta...
posted on 8/11/17
There are stats... and there are stats.
These are stats that are just not needed and open to interpretation. The chaps that are running these numbers need to get out more
posted on 8/11/17
comment by RonaldVilliers (U21490)
posted 1 hour, 23 minutes ago
Yeah no chance Leicester have created chances than City this season.
FAKE NEWS
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thanks for the clarification
posted on 8/11/17
The full article is on the BBC football website - makes interesting reading
posted on 8/11/17
Is the interpretation of the stats by the OP correct though, there were stats I mentioned a few weeks ago where we were top of the ‘expected’ chances rather than actual chances, that’s why it doesn’t make sense that we have created more than teams like Man City.
If the chances are weighted though to how many a team is expected to create, we’ve been doing very well and performing above expectations in that particular area.
posted on 8/11/17
I’m also in the camp of struggling to understand how they’ve got to these figures!
Stats should make sense in context of the reality of games. These don’t seem to.
If they were correct, I’d suggest we’d be challenging Man City for top spot. Last time I checked, we’re not.
posted on 8/11/17
Surely a chance is
Player in front of open goal > misses
Goal keeper saves shot on target
Defender clears off line
Player hit shot onto the goal frame or misses by inches
posted on 8/11/17
As we are better than man city
Is this because most of there chances become goals
Therefore dont count as chances ??
posted on 8/11/17
My interpretation of the stats was to suggest that we are arguably the most "negatively out of position" club given the stats, i.e. All things being equal we would be higher in the table based on this.
Of course, all other things are not equal. But regardless, this particular stat offers little else in the way of insight or anything particularly useful. Much like the stat it's created from - Expected Goals - it's more for people who like stats rather than something that actually wins you anything or serves any real purpose.
I do like Expected Goals - it helps to debunk a manager's nonsense when they're erroneously banging on about how their team deserved to do this, that or the other. However, the one in the OP is mostly just an "it's so unfair" stat that shouldn't be given particular respect.
posted on 8/11/17
"From the unlikely contender for an England World Cup place to signs that Leicester are not as far away as you might think from a return to the top end of the table, "
Hmm, We never were far away were we, fixtures and key players missing were the only issue all along?
posted on 8/11/17
I think the anomaly with re: Man City is that Man City are more clinical with the ‘lesser’ amount of ‘clear chances’ than we are with a ‘greater’ amount of ‘clear chances’. The increase in Man City’s ‘goals for’ in comparison to ours is that Opta are stating they score more from ‘less clear’ chances.
Of course it is subjective, but that doesn’t mean it’s bias (this would only occur if the analyst decided that a ‘clear chance’ for Leicester is different to their view on what a ‘clear chance’ for Man City is).
It’s mainly a load of rubbish I guess , but one would assume that , even a broad subjective view, would be reasonably accurate in terms of what a ‘good chance’ is And therefore there is some credence to the fact that we are making a lot of good chances but missing many more in comparison to some teams. Make of the stats what you will, but within their context of what they view as a ‘clear chance’ we are making ahellalot comparatively - and that’s a fact :D