The CL away goal rule

How will the seeding system work in the new uefa super league next season? Will it still be based on league champions or will it be back to favouring the big leagues?

It’s much better. You actually have to win the tie to get through now.

How odd, I was thinking this whilst watching the game lastnight, that its more boring without away goals

Doesn't really matter in this case as if Porto score at the Emirates we will still need to get three to win the tie

Not quite true that. If you lose 2-1 you still have the chance of going through on penalties, whereas before the away goal would've put Porto through.

Yeah and you get extra time to get that third goal

comment by Nickasaurus (U9257)
posted 8 minutes ago
Yeah and you get extra time to get that third goal
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Yeah, overlooked that important point.

Extra time was arguably more interesting under the previous system, because while the home team had the crowd advantage, the possibility of conceding also increased the jeopardy.

Was it more common for the home team or the away team to win it in extra time? I wonder what the statistics are on that.

Away team I reckon. There’s been an increase in penalty shootouts (which is bloody grate) since the removal of the away goals rule. There’s obviously an advantage to being at home on ET but the away goal actually benefits the away team more than the home advantage does, in my opinion. It probably doesn’t make it as interesting, however, I think extra time is better when the home team and away team can play with some freedom to go and win the tie before pens.

Boiled down, the away goals rule applied in extra time means that any score draw benefits the away team. A goalless draw leads to penalties, and e.t. win for either team puts them through, regardless of the difference in goals.

I haven't found exact stats, but I did find a mathematical model extrapolating the number of goals typically scored over 90 minutes by home and away sides, respectively.

On its own, that model awards the home team a 32% chance of winning it in extra time vs a 21% chance for the away team.

There are other factors involved, of course, so it would've been more interesting to see what the results in actual fact were, but I didn't manage to find any.

comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 1 day, 1 hour ago
See a lot of people moan about seeding, but when you get 2 championship sides in the FA Cup semi final because they have had the luck of the draw it is a massive turn-off for the viewing public and the final is a shiiity one sided borefest.

Seeding is great, as it gives you the best chance of the best teams meeting at the business end of the competition, which is surely what we want to see. It also doesn't stop the unseeded teams proving themselves better than the seeds.
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There speaks the big club fan who thinks football is a TV programme.

And ultimately, because it’s all about money, this is who and what it all comes down to.

But rich when people who hold this opinion object to the European Super League though.