I admire your optimism and I try and be the same, but I fear too much is required. We essentially need 3 good teams to fall twice each in their remaining 5 games, and us win all 5. I think that is now in the realms of a freaky sequence and not likely. I feel not beating Watford was the coffin nail.
But hey I am open to miracles!
Seriously regardless of the others, we need to win most of our last games, just to get in shape for the play offs. A good flowing Derby would still be the best team in there, but not as we are now

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I worked it and had us coming 3rd on 86 pts behind Bournemouth 88 pts and Norwich 87pts
With Brentford failing to get in the play offs on 80 points!!
Apart from us winning everything I tried to keep the rest sensible, but didn't bother with the goals too much, just the results

We are going to rue that Birmingham game!

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Bmouth have to drop points in 3 out of 5 games for us to overhaul them - not gonna happen.

Our best bet is to win out, and hope the others drop enough points to potentially bottle it on "matchday 46"

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Bournemouth are showing Derby County how to beat Brighton at their own ground. Just like they beat Fulham at their place