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These 74 comments are related to an article called:

It's a Mug's Game Part Deux

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posted on 7/2/18

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by 🎼Galv..... (U10415)
posted 1 minute ago
How annoyed are you that you spelt it 'toal 'on all of them?
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Or did I?

posted on 7/2/18

So what does this all mean m8

posted on 7/2/18

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 5 seconds ago
comment by 🎼Galv..... (U10415)
posted 1 minute ago
How annoyed are you that you spelt it 'toal 'on all of them?
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Or did I?
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posted on 7/2/18

I should point out that it’s a “mug’s” game as I have been reminded of this throughout my working life.

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by downsouf (U4095)
posted 1 minute ago
I should point out that it’s a “mug’s” game as I have been reminded of this throughout my working life.
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comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by Mr Chelsea. (U3579)
posted 2 minutes ago
So what does this all mean m8
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If you were to bet on the team that was playing Chelsea, you would be quids in.

posted on 7/2/18

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 31 seconds ago
comment by Mr Chelsea. (U3579)
posted 2 minutes ago
So what does this all mean m8
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If you were to bet on the team that was playing Chelsea, you would be quids in.
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I think we know this already admin, it is our gap year after all

posted on 7/2/18

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

posted on 7/2/18

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

posted on 7/2/18

Do you use these stats in your own betting Admin? Are you basing future bets off the back of this historical data?

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by Flashy flibble (U10324)
posted 9 seconds ago
Do you use these stats in your own betting Admin? Are you basing future bets off the back of this historical data?
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Yes and no. You can fall in to the fallacy of overfitting, but mostly in recent years just dabble with the data for AI fun.

posted on 7/2/18

JA606 reserves the right to remove user generated content that is not in English or uses big words that we do not understand.

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

Occasionally the predictive AI optimisation algorithms I write generate their own predictions which in the vast majority of cases match the bookmakers. But every so often, say once a fortnight it throws out a single prediction that completely disagrees with the bookies. That's the ones I look out for. Though the frequency means I'll never generate a meaningful p value anytime soon.

posted on 7/2/18

Team Bet Against: Chelsea Total Staked: 26 Profit: 25.45

Does this mean that if you were to bet £1 on the opposition on each of their 26 games, you'd have made £25.45 profit?

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by NotSoMagicJuande (U1913)
posted 1 minute ago
Team Bet Against: Chelsea Total Staked: 26 Profit: 25.45

Does this mean that if you were to bet £1 on the opposition on each of their 26 games, you'd have made £25.45 profit?
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yep.

posted on 7/2/18

Cheers

That's really interesting actually. You'd need the balls to keep placing those bets over the course of the season regardless of current form, but I like it.

comment by Neo (U9135)

posted on 7/2/18

Good to see you are putting your time to good use Admin.

comment by Superb (U6486)

posted on 7/2/18

In short bet against Chelsea coz we're a bit crap this season.

Usually the season right after winning one of the big two trophies as a rule of thumb

posted on 7/2/18

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by 🎼Galv..... (U10415)
posted 1 minute ago
Admin..........many moons ago when you were doing these I asked how many variables you used.
I believe the answer was seven...which I said was nowhere near enough....how many do you refer to/use now?
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It's probably about 7 or 8 variables per team.

comment by Admin1 (U1)

posted on 7/2/18

comment by Neo (U9135)
posted 3 minutes ago
Good to see you are putting your time to good use Admin.
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Indeed

posted on 7/2/18

Comment deleted by Site Moderator

posted on 7/2/18

millwall let me down last night for 1600 quid on a 3 quid bet.... caaants

comment by GOODBYE (U1029)

posted on 7/2/18

Heard a tip about Notts County getting relegated Admin..

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