comment by Don Draper's dandruff (U20155)
posted 22 minutes ago
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 9 minutes ago
I checked it cos I'm a nerd, and you've had 15 lower league teams and 6 PL clubs in rounds 3, 4 and 5 in the last 7 years
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which is broadly what you would expect from a random draw though. in round 3 there are 19 PL opponents out of 63, so you have a 70% chance of not playing a PL team. round 4 probably a c. 50% chance of not playing a PL team.
amazing really, if it's that easy to do, that no one else has managed it in the last 140 odd years.
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Just shows that you held onto Fergie for far too long!
comment by Anne Ziety (U22412)
posted 42 seconds ago
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Just shows that you held onto Fergie for far too long!
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we were much more tolerant of failure in the good old days.
comment by Don Draper's dandruff (U20155)
posted 5 minutes ago
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 4 minutes ago
You've drawn a lot more lower league teams than you would statistically expect, but if you agreed then what was your comment about me not checking it?
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well, the clue that you hadn't bothered to check was in your use of the word "probably".
and i can't be bothered to slice and dice all the data, but just in the last 3 years i can see that the 5th round - ie the round before the QFs - has featured bournemouth, swansea, bristol city and barnsley (this year); portsmouth, sheff weds, reading, norwich, and derby (last year); and qpr, derby, wimbledon, millwall, newport, bristol city, doncaster, swansea, and brentford (the year before).
so i'm not sure that your "we've had it easier than you would expect" claim is true.
still, keep up the digs at clubs outperforming you, if it makes you feel better.
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I didn't need to check as it was highly likely to be the case. Haven't had any digs at your club at all, I made a statement that was true, you thought it was wrong and tried to be smart
comment by #Culer (U22564)
posted 25 minutes ago
comment by Hansaplast (U1250)
posted 1 minute ago
comment by Boris 'Inky’ Gibson (U5901)
posted 22 minutes ago
comment by #Culer (U22564)
posted 2 seconds ago
Boris is obsessed with United. Probably used to support us.
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Like you support my kids?
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Eh?
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I pay loads of tax in my job and Boris doesn't work. He's rubbing it in that he gets his kids, house and life paid for by taxes from people like me who work.
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You don't work, you're in school.
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 9 minutes ago
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I didn't need to check as it was highly likely to be the case. Haven't had any digs at your club at all, I made a statement that was true, you thought it was wrong and tried to be smart
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i didn't say that i thought it was wrong, merely that you hadn't bothered to check, which you hadn't.
literally all you've now done is show that most cup runs involve meeting weaker teams in the earlier rounds, which isn't hugely interesting, because even the most stupid posters on here could figure that out.
you certainly haven't shown that our cup runs over the past 7 years have been easier than average, which you might want to do if you're going to sneer at fans being pleased by the club achieving something that no other club has managed in close to a century and a half - you know, with it being so easy and all.
comment by Don Draper's dandruff (U20155)
posted 38 seconds ago
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 9 minutes ago
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I didn't need to check as it was highly likely to be the case. Haven't had any digs at your club at all, I made a statement that was true, you thought it was wrong and tried to be smart
----------------------------------------------------------------------
i didn't say that i thought it was wrong, merely that you hadn't bothered to check, which you hadn't.
literally all you've now done is show that most cup runs involve meeting weaker teams in the earlier rounds, which isn't hugely interesting, because even the most stupid posters on here could figure that out.
you certainly haven't shown that our cup runs over the past 7 years have been easier than average, which you might want to do if you're going to sneer at fans being pleased by the club achieving something that no other club has managed in close to a century and a half - you know, with it being so easy and all.
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I never claimed to check it which is why I said probably, but I was right so not sure what point you were even trying to make.
But yeah like you said round 3 roughly 70% chance of getting a lower league team
round 4 ~50%
round 3 lower than 50%, probably nearer to 30/40%
15 lower league opponents out of 21 = 71%
so you have faced a lot more lower league teams than you would expect.
8bit seems awfully wound up by this
Not at all. I'm just stubborn, so don't let things go when I'm right
I'd let it go, just congratulate United on achieving something else no-one has and move on
comment by Boris 'Inky’ Gibson (U5901)
posted 9 seconds ago
Quarter Final Royalty.
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I like it, but my anti-monarchy soul is finding the title a bit hard to live with
Out of our last 32 games in the FA Cup we've played 17 games against PL opposition. I'd say that's pretty average in terms of what you'd expect in a random draw.
Sign in if you want to comment
7th straight Quarterfinals
Page 3 of 3
posted on 10/2/21
comment by Don Draper's dandruff (U20155)
posted 22 minutes ago
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 9 minutes ago
I checked it cos I'm a nerd, and you've had 15 lower league teams and 6 PL clubs in rounds 3, 4 and 5 in the last 7 years
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which is broadly what you would expect from a random draw though. in round 3 there are 19 PL opponents out of 63, so you have a 70% chance of not playing a PL team. round 4 probably a c. 50% chance of not playing a PL team.
amazing really, if it's that easy to do, that no one else has managed it in the last 140 odd years.
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Just shows that you held onto Fergie for far too long!
posted on 10/2/21
comment by Anne Ziety (U22412)
posted 42 seconds ago
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Just shows that you held onto Fergie for far too long!
----------------------------------------------------------------------
we were much more tolerant of failure in the good old days.
posted on 10/2/21
comment by Don Draper's dandruff (U20155)
posted 5 minutes ago
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 4 minutes ago
You've drawn a lot more lower league teams than you would statistically expect, but if you agreed then what was your comment about me not checking it?
----------------------------------------------------------------------
well, the clue that you hadn't bothered to check was in your use of the word "probably".
and i can't be bothered to slice and dice all the data, but just in the last 3 years i can see that the 5th round - ie the round before the QFs - has featured bournemouth, swansea, bristol city and barnsley (this year); portsmouth, sheff weds, reading, norwich, and derby (last year); and qpr, derby, wimbledon, millwall, newport, bristol city, doncaster, swansea, and brentford (the year before).
so i'm not sure that your "we've had it easier than you would expect" claim is true.
still, keep up the digs at clubs outperforming you, if it makes you feel better.
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I didn't need to check as it was highly likely to be the case. Haven't had any digs at your club at all, I made a statement that was true, you thought it was wrong and tried to be smart
posted on 10/2/21
comment by #Culer (U22564)
posted 25 minutes ago
comment by Hansaplast (U1250)
posted 1 minute ago
comment by Boris 'Inky’ Gibson (U5901)
posted 22 minutes ago
comment by #Culer (U22564)
posted 2 seconds ago
Boris is obsessed with United. Probably used to support us.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Like you support my kids?
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Eh?
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I pay loads of tax in my job and Boris doesn't work. He's rubbing it in that he gets his kids, house and life paid for by taxes from people like me who work.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
You don't work, you're in school.
posted on 10/2/21
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 9 minutes ago
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I didn't need to check as it was highly likely to be the case. Haven't had any digs at your club at all, I made a statement that was true, you thought it was wrong and tried to be smart
----------------------------------------------------------------------
i didn't say that i thought it was wrong, merely that you hadn't bothered to check, which you hadn't.
literally all you've now done is show that most cup runs involve meeting weaker teams in the earlier rounds, which isn't hugely interesting, because even the most stupid posters on here could figure that out.
you certainly haven't shown that our cup runs over the past 7 years have been easier than average, which you might want to do if you're going to sneer at fans being pleased by the club achieving something that no other club has managed in close to a century and a half - you know, with it being so easy and all.
posted on 10/2/21
comment by Don Draper's dandruff (U20155)
posted 38 seconds ago
comment by 8bit (U2653)
posted 9 minutes ago
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I didn't need to check as it was highly likely to be the case. Haven't had any digs at your club at all, I made a statement that was true, you thought it was wrong and tried to be smart
----------------------------------------------------------------------
i didn't say that i thought it was wrong, merely that you hadn't bothered to check, which you hadn't.
literally all you've now done is show that most cup runs involve meeting weaker teams in the earlier rounds, which isn't hugely interesting, because even the most stupid posters on here could figure that out.
you certainly haven't shown that our cup runs over the past 7 years have been easier than average, which you might want to do if you're going to sneer at fans being pleased by the club achieving something that no other club has managed in close to a century and a half - you know, with it being so easy and all.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I never claimed to check it which is why I said probably, but I was right so not sure what point you were even trying to make.
But yeah like you said round 3 roughly 70% chance of getting a lower league team
round 4 ~50%
round 3 lower than 50%, probably nearer to 30/40%
15 lower league opponents out of 21 = 71%
so you have faced a lot more lower league teams than you would expect.
posted on 10/2/21
8bit seems awfully wound up by this
posted on 10/2/21
Not at all. I'm just stubborn, so don't let things go when I'm right
posted on 10/2/21
I'd let it go, just congratulate United on achieving something else no-one has and move on
posted on 10/2/21
Quarter Final Royalty.
posted on 10/2/21
comment by Boris 'Inky’ Gibson (U5901)
posted 9 seconds ago
Quarter Final Royalty.
----------------------------------------------------------------------
I like it, but my anti-monarchy soul is finding the title a bit hard to live with
posted on 10/2/21
Out of our last 32 games in the FA Cup we've played 17 games against PL opposition. I'd say that's pretty average in terms of what you'd expect in a random draw.
Page 3 of 3