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Europa league hangovers ? some stats

http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/35146716
Interesting article on results after European games. Surprised that our stats show only a little drop off. We've had some real mares in recent years after Europa games.

posted on 17/2/16

Nice one Weare. Hopefully Leicester with lack of game time will be sluggish when their programme resumes.

posted on 17/2/16

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posted on 17/2/16

I'm so glad this myth has been busted

posted on 17/2/16

"I would have been interested to see the stats for just away games in Europe. I don't believe it is the games themselves that knacker players out, but the travelling (especially to furthest Eastern Europe)."

Someone (else) with a basic understanding of stats.
Dimensioning by home/away, away + round-trip travel time etc would of course be more definitive.

posted on 17/2/16

I agree it is a myth.

If we have a poor result following a EL tie, excuses will be made - but we've had poor results when we've had no midweek game and a whole week rest.

posted on 17/2/16

The other problem is what is a "poor result"?

If we lost against the league leaders after a European trip, that doesn't say a lot.

Lose against relegation certainties and that's a poor result.

I found the BBC's article very disappointing. It's far from definitive.

posted on 17/2/16

Hooplar,

I think you've just given good suggestions of what is and what isn't a poor result - which is generally why i use the term "poor result" rather than win, lose or draw..

posted on 17/2/16

"I found the BBC's article very disappointing. It's far from definitive."

It was correct though for Spurs.
Generally worse results. One (explainable) outlier.

Doesn't appear to be statistically significant though.

posted on 18/2/16

Agreed Chicken, which is partly why I was disappointed with the article. You'd need a far bigger sample to get anything worthwhile using the BBC's method (as RDBD has alluded to).

posted on 18/2/16

Looks like everyone had a league hangover tonight

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