4 points sounds like a decent lead but the $puds have a significantly better goal difference, if they are going to catch us on points it's extremely unlikely that we could catch up that goal difference so in reality it really is 3.5 points.
The $pud home game against Burnley is similar to Arsenal's home game against Everton (if anything Everton look the better of those two now) but Arsenal have to go to an excellent Newcastle side whereas the $puds only have to beat a Norwich side that are barely bothering to turn up for games.
This obviously means that the NLD at their place is the key. A $pud win makes them slight favourites to get 4th, a draw makes Arsenal favourite (having to win one of the last two games) - and obviously a win for Arsenal is the dream scenario, however, given the injuries to Partey and Tierney & Arsenal's struggle without them I think the latter is unlikely.
Thursday is HUGE - let's hope Chelsea falter badly too !
The truth is it's only really 3.5 points...
posted on 9/5/22
comment by Vladimikel Artutin - committing war crimes aga... (U18355)
posted 3 minutes ago
We’ve won 18 of our last 19 vs Newcastle home and away.
Also what is the obsession with goal difference? It’s extremely unlikely it comes into play. Only scenarios are Arsenal lose vs Spurs, and draw their last 2 games with Spurs winning one and losing one or the NLD ending in a draw and Arsenal losing their last 2 games with Spurs winning and drawing each other last 2.
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Which means we would have had to beat Leeds by 11 or something, at least!
posted on 9/5/22
comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 2 minutes ago
comment by Vladimikel Artutin - committing war crimes aga... (U18355)
posted 3 minutes ago
We’ve won 18 of our last 19 vs Newcastle home and away.
Also what is the obsession with goal difference? It’s extremely unlikely it comes into play. Only scenarios are Arsenal lose vs Spurs, and draw their last 2 games with Spurs winning one and losing one or the NLD ending in a draw and Arsenal losing their last 2 games with Spurs winning and drawing each other last 2.
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Which means we would have had to beat Leeds by 11 or something, at least!
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Yep was saying that yesterday. People (and commentators) kept saying this was the perfect opportunity to improve our GD but even winning 10-0 potentially wouldn’t have been enough.
posted on 9/5/22
comment by Vladimikel Artutin - committing war crimes against football since 2019 (U18355)
posted 6 hours, 3 minutes ago
We’ve won 18 of our last 19 vs Newcastle home and away.
Also what is the obsession with goal difference? It’s extremely unlikely it comes into play. Only scenarios are Arsenal lose vs Spurs, and draw their last 2 games with Spurs winning one and losing one or the NLD ending in a draw and Arsenal losing their last 2 games with Spurs winning and drawing each other last 2.
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No, there is another even more likely scenario, we draw all three games and the $puds win their last two. A draw at the $puds would not be a bad result and a draw at Newcastle (given their home form) would not be a bad result either - because of goal difference we would still need to beat Everton if the $puds win their last two games (which is probable).
So that's three scenarios and it is highly possible because of goal difference that we will have to win that last game.
posted on 12/5/22
comment by PowerkingHenry27 (U18930)
posted 3 days, 21 hours ago
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 6 minutes ago
Go and look at Newcastle's home results, they've won 6 out of the last 7 - and that 1 defeat was to Liverpool 0-1. It's the last game of the season in front of their fans - if you think they are not going to turn up you are DELUSIONAL...
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Why not look at our recent form and not worry about Newcastle. 4 goals at Chelsea and 2 away at Westham. We have the motivation and incentives to go their and take 3 points just like we have on Thursday. Let’s see how it pans out and have some faith 👍
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This did not age well…😐
posted on 12/5/22
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 5 minutes ago
comment by PowerkingHenry27 (U18930)
posted 3 days, 21 hours ago
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 6 minutes ago
Go and look at Newcastle's home results, they've won 6 out of the last 7 - and that 1 defeat was to Liverpool 0-1. It's the last game of the season in front of their fans - if you think they are not going to turn up you are DELUSIONAL...
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Why not look at our recent form and not worry about Newcastle. 4 goals at Chelsea and 2 away at Westham. We have the motivation and incentives to go their and take 3 points just like we have on Thursday. Let’s see how it pans out and have some faith 👍
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This did not age well…😐
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Why, we haven't played Newcastle yet??
posted on 16/5/22
comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 4 days ago
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 5 minutes ago
comment by PowerkingHenry27 (U18930)
posted 3 days, 21 hours ago
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 6 minutes ago
Go and look at Newcastle's home results, they've won 6 out of the last 7 - and that 1 defeat was to Liverpool 0-1. It's the last game of the season in front of their fans - if you think they are not going to turn up you are DELUSIONAL...
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Why not look at our recent form and not worry about Newcastle. 4 goals at Chelsea and 2 away at Westham. We have the motivation and incentives to go their and take 3 points just like we have on Thursday. Let’s see how it pans out and have some faith 👍
----------------------------------------------------------------------
This did not age well…😐
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Why, we haven't played Newcastle yet??
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Now we have, I repeat, this did not age well, so many idiots thinking we were going to “smash” Newcastle - just embarrassing ignorance. 🙄
If things had gone our way maybe we could have edged out Newcastle, but with their home form that was all it was ever going to be. As it is, we didn’t start our best player on form (Martinelli) for no apparent reason other than rank stupidity and generally we didn’t play well enough.
posted on 16/5/22
The 🥔 🥔 now go into the game knowing they only need a DRAW at Norwich because of goal difference - I don’t take any pleasure from saying I told you so - but I told you so…😐
posted on 17/5/22
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 1 day ago
The 🥔 🥔 now go into the game knowing they only need a DRAW at Norwich because of goal difference - I don’t take any pleasure from saying I told you so - but I told you so…😐
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Are you thick? Our GD is +9. Theirs is +24. Did you expect us to beat Leeds by 14 goals? You probably did.
posted on 17/5/22
Oh sorry. 16 goals
posted on 18/5/22
comment by Vladimikel Artutin - committing war crimes against football since 2019 (U18355)
posted 21 hours, 29 minutes ago
comment by ItsAboutTheBackFour (U9916)
posted 1 day ago
The 🥔 🥔 now go into the game knowing they only need a DRAW at Norwich because of goal difference - I don’t take any pleasure from saying I told you so - but I told you so…😐
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Are you thick? Our GD is +9. Theirs is +24. Did you expect us to beat Leeds by 14 goals? You probably did.
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You seem to lack basic comprehension skills - go and read the whole thread again and perhaps get mummy to explain it to you…🙄