With the last 2 groups ending today, the last 16 is taking shape. But the 3rd place teams muddies the picture somewhat.
Scenario 1 - Turkey and Portugal avoid defeat. Group F misses out.
Spain vs 3rd in E
Germany vs Denmark
Portugal vs Hungary
France vs ru E
Winner E vs Slovenia
Austria vs ru F
England vs Netherlands
Switzerland vs Italy
Second scenario - Two big wins in Group E, and Czechia and/or Georgia winning. Group E misses out.
Draw as above but Spain will play 3rd in F.
Third scenario - 3 teams get points in Group E, or losers maintain a better GD than Hungary and Czechia and/or Georgia win. Hungary miss out.
Spain vs 3rd in F
Germany vs Denmark
Portugal vs Slovenia
France vs ru E
Winner E vs Netherlands
Austria vs ru F
England vs 3rd E
Switzerland vs Italy.
In all scenarios the top half of the draw looks like it will produce a couple of very tasty Quarters. 4 of the top 5 favourites have found themselves in here, largely due to Frances failure to win Group D.
The bottom half is set for a replay of 2020 final Italy vs England in the quarters, but if the Netherlands fall into that slot it will produce the tie of the round on paper.
Belgium could be another one to stir up the draw, with them still being able to face Spain, France or Netherlands. Or they could go out.
The 3 Last 16 scenarios...
posted on 26/6/24
comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 52 minutes ago
Don't think Czechia beating Turkey will be a shock result tbf. They are higher in the FIFA rankings after all.
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Exactly, people are talking Turkey should be winning that game 9 times out of 10 - current form and past Euros heroics says otherwise.
The Czechs were a minute away from drawing with Portugal whereas Turkey had lost the game 20 mins in. It will be very tight but 1-0 Czechs is not going to be jaw dropping
posted on 26/6/24
comment by House - Free Mainoo (U17162)
posted 51 minutes ago
So if Czechia does beat Turkey then England play Slovakia?
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Yes - the 2 scenarios now are Netherlands or 3rd in Group E which looks very much like being Slovakia.
We need a win from either Czechs or Georgia to avoid the Netherlands
posted on 26/6/24
comment by Tyranny of the majority (SE85) (U21241)
posted 3 hours, 19 minutes ago
The new format is absolutely crap. Too much jeopardy has been taken away in MD3 and as somebody has pointed out above a few nations that play last on the gameweek know what they need to do to get through which can be an advantage. Afterall some nations are competing against more than just the teams in their group but other third place sides.
Scrap it and have a rethink for 2028. This doesn't work for me.
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Haha, good luck with that.
By 2032 we will have a 32 team Euro - that’s how they will get round it - which will be shiete given there is only 55 UEFA constituents and among the 55 are - Gibraltar, Faroes Islands, Andorra, San Marino, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Scotland, Malta, Latvia, Belarus, Estonia.
Imagine what qualifying for that monstrosity is going to look like
posted on 26/6/24
This may not please the purists but I wouldn't totally be against a 16 team Euros and also a 16 team Euros Plate/Conference kind of secondary tournament.
A lot of the fun in this Euros has been when some of the 'lesser' nations have played. It'd be a shame if there wasn't an opportunity for some of them to play on a major stage.
posted on 26/6/24
The Euro qualifiers could be:
5 groups of five
5 groups of six
Ten group winners go through and the 10 runners up into a play off. 15 teams plus one host.
Five losing play off teams and the ten third place teams go into the 'Plate/Conference' alongside a host.
Reduce the number of games in the Nations League by making them groups of three.
posted on 26/6/24
comment by Diafol Coch 77 🏴 (U2462)
posted 53 minutes ago
The Euro qualifiers could be:
5 groups of five
5 groups of six
Ten group winners go through and the 10 runners up into a play off. 15 teams plus one host.
Five losing play off teams and the ten third place teams go into the 'Plate/Conference' alongside a host.
Reduce the number of games in the Nations League by making them groups of three.
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TV, Hosting and increased revenue are your 3 reasons why that’s a non starter.
No faaacker is watching Estonia vs Latvia
posted on 26/6/24
comment by Striketeam7 - confident for Southgate’s nearly slaaaags (U18109)
posted 5 minutes ago
comment by Diafol Coch 77 🏴 (U2462)
posted 53 minutes ago
The Euro qualifiers could be:
5 groups of five
5 groups of six
Ten group winners go through and the 10 runners up into a play off. 15 teams plus one host.
Five losing play off teams and the ten third place teams go into the 'Plate/Conference' alongside a host.
Reduce the number of games in the Nations League by making them groups of three.
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TV, Hosting and increased revenue are your 3 reasons why that’s a non starter.
No faaacker is watching Estonia vs Latvia
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I'm pretty certain people would watch. Some of the games between the eastern European team alone have been good. TV will screen the Conference League so they'd screen this too IMO. Wales, Scotland, NI and Rep of Ireland would take large contingents of fans if they were in it as well as other countries too. It could even be a better spectacle as a lot of these players would see it as the pinnacle.
posted on 26/6/24
AIS...
Spain vs Georgia
Germany vs Denmark
Portugal vs Slovenia
France vs Belgium
Winner E vs Netherlands
Austria vs Turkey
England vs Slovakia
Switzerland vs Italy.
posted on 26/6/24
comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 34 minutes ago
AIS...
Spain vs Georgia
Germany vs Denmark
Portugal vs Slovenia
France vs Belgium
Romania vs Netherlands
Austria vs Turkey
England vs Slovakia
Switzerland vs Italy.
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posted on 26/6/24
comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 38 minutes ago
comment by D'Jeezus Mackaroni (U1137)
posted 34 minutes ago
AIS...
Spain vs Georgia
Germany vs Denmark
Portugal vs Slovenia
France vs Belgium
Romania vs Netherlands
Austria vs Turkey
England vs Slovakia
Switzerland vs Italy.
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If those England players aren’t rocking a semi looking at that draw tonight then there is something wrong with them.
As good as a draw as you will ever get at this level