Yeah bet 365 normally notices in a few hours, mine withdrew quick enough today though luckily so no much they could do

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 10 hours, 4 minutes ago
comment by There'sOnlyOneReds (U1721)
posted 4 minutes ago
comment by HRH King Ledley (U20095)
posted 4 hours, 6 minutes ago
comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 3 seconds ago
comment by HRH King Ledley (U20095)
posted 18 minutes ago
Surely it must still be more common to show a loss than a profit after 36000 bets?

The house 0 must have as good a chance as any of the punter numbers of being in "profit" after 36000 bets (appearing more than 1-in-36 is their profit).

I imagine most numbers would hover around the break even point, and there would be a bell curve with the bigger profit/loss numbers at either end.
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Most certainly. But during a prolonged run, typically it drifts into a lucky streak at some point.
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Ah, yes. Not a set 36k cycle.

The one I think of is betting big on Red (or black), then doubling your stake for every loss. At some point you will get a huge win.

The problem here would be encountering a not uncommon run against you and running out of funds

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If you're gonna do that then you should do two sets of 12, which gives you around 65% chance rather than around 48%.
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?

I don't get this.
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Choosing black or red and doubling each time gives you 48% chance of hitting your colour. If you choose first twelve and second twelve for example you have closer to 65% chance of hitting your number.

x
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Tirane. Match Result: Maccabi Tel Aviv To Win
Price: 11/100
x
Lyngby vs Bangor City. Match Result: Lyngby To Win
Price: 17/200▲
x
Kairat vs Atlantas. Match Result: Kairat To Win
Price: 1/8
x
Dinamo Minsk vs NSI Runavik. Match Result: Dinamo Minsk To Win
Price: 3/25
x
Skenderbeu vs UE Sant Julia. Match Result: Skenderbeu To Win
Price: 7/50
x
Crvena Zvezda vs Floriana. Match Result: Crvena Zvezda To Win
Price: 19/200
x
Lech Poznan vs Pelister. Match Result: Lech Poznan To Win
Price: 1/8
x
Rangers vs Progres Niedercorn. Match Result: Rangers To Win
Price: 3/50▼

5/4 accumulator

Also think the Skenderbeu game is a good win to nil bet at 10/11 Ladbrokes coral.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/europa-league/skenderbeu-v-sant-julia/to-win-to-nil

UE Saint Julia not scored in last 10 European matches. Skenderbeu pretty weak opposition, but did reach the group stage in 15/16.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UE_Sant_Juli%C3%A0#European_results

Boom!

#132. Bet Source: Web. Accumulator : £ 1,250.00

Total Odds: 1361/1000

29 Jun 15:45 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Kairat vs Atlantas. Match Result : Kairat To Win. Odds: 4/25 . Result: 6:0

29 Jun 19:30 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Crvena Zvezda vs Floriana. Match Result : Crvena Zvezda To Win. Odds: 19/200 . Result: 3:0

29 Jun 19:45 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Rangers vs Progres Niedercorn. Match Result : Rangers To Win. Odds: 3/50 . Result: 1:0

29 Jun 16:30 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Dinamo Minsk vs NSI Runavik. Match Result : Dinamo Minsk To Win. Odds: 3/25 . Result: 2:1

29 Jun 17:30 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Lyngby vs Bangor City. Match Result : Lyngby To Win. Odds: 9/100 . Result: 1:0

29 Jun 19:45 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Lech Poznan vs Pelister. Match Result : Lech Poznan To Win. Odds: 1/8 . Result: 4:0

29 Jun 18:58 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Skenderbeu vs UE Sant Julia. Match Result : Skenderbeu To Win. Odds: 7/50 . Result: 1:0

29 Jun 19:00 Football. Clubs. International. UEFA Europa League. Qualifying. 1st Round. 1st Leg. Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Tirane. Match Result : Maccabi Tel Aviv To Win. Odds: 3/25 . Result: 2:0

You put down over £1k on an 8 fold?!?!

Those 1-0s must've had you feeling twitchy...

Yeah the Lyngby game saw them go down to 10 men and Bet365 suspended the betting for a while so I was panicking a penalty had been awarded.

Skenderbeu despite absolutely dominating left it until the 69th min.

Rangers supposed to be the easiest of the lot, yet Progres had a few attempts and limited Rangers to not that "many" chances, given the gulf in class I was expecting.

Incredible that there were 36/50 no btts matches. 7 of my 8 were win to nils, Runavik spoiling the clean sheets late on with their only shot on target.

Early prices on Betfred for the return legs-

OLIMPIJA LJUBJANA v vps
The Slovenians lost the 1st leg 1-0, but at 4/6 expect them to at least get a win in 90 mins.

Stats fairly positive for an away team, although VPS may have gone more defensive given how early they scored.
http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/season=2018/matches/round=2000886/match=2021748/statistics/index.html

AIK V ki
The Swedes outplayed them in the Faroes, but drew 0-0, must win back in Sweden having not secured an away goal. AIK 1/8
http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/season=2018/matches/round=2000886/match=2021761/statistics/index.html

DUNAV RUSE v irtysh pavlodar
The kazakhstan team won the 1st leg 1-0, but Ruse were impressive. Irtysh don't travel that well in Europe, so Ruse are big value at 21/10. Probably one I'd back on the draw no bet though.
http://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/season=2018/matches/round=2000886/match=2021725/statistics/index.html

Olympia FC u20 currently -7 asian handicap, half time and they are winning 7-0, weirdly high odds as they are 1/500 to win the second half

comment by Sir Digby (U6039)
posted 1 minute ago
Olympia FC u20 currently -7 asian handicap, half time and they are winning 7-0, weirdly high odds as they are 1/500 to win the second half
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What bookie?

Bet365

-6.5 now

3 way handicap is at -13, Asian handicap is 6.5, worth a go but they will probably change it quick

comment by Sir Digby (U6039)
posted 6 seconds ago
3 way handicap is at -13, Asian handicap is 6.5, worth a go but they will probably change it quick
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Got 20 on it -6.5. at 1.9

You sure a that isn't the handicap starting at 7-0?

Oh yeah could be, I put a tenner on

comment by Sir Digby (U6039)
posted 2 hours, 14 minutes ago
Oh yeah could be, I put a tenner on
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Cashed out £5 blew £15.

Legia Warsaw v Arka Gdynia
Polish Super Cup
Friday night

Legia have played in this in 2012, 2014, 2015 and 2016. They lost the last 3 in 90 mins, twice to Lech Poznan and once to Zawisza Bydgoszcz.

They last won it in 2008 against Wisla Krakow. They lost in 2006 against Wisla Plock.

Think the match is going to be played at Legia's stadium, but last year on home ground was a 4-1 defeat to Poznan. The Zawisza 3-2 was also on home ground.

With Legia away in Finland against Mariehamn in the Champions League on Wednesday night, could be some value in Arka at 13/2 in 90 mins. Draw no bet is around 4/1.

https://www.betshoot.com/138626-Shimizu-S-Pulse-vs-Gamba-Osaka-betting-tips

Cork City v AEK Larnaca
Draw no bet
Cork City
6/5 (Paddy and Marathon) 11/10 (Hills, Freds & 365)

Cork running away with the Irish league this season, won 19, drawn 1 and still unbeaten! Deservedly beat Levadia Tallinn in the previous round 6-2 on aggregate.

AEK Larnaca are obviously dangerous opponents having eliminated Spartak Moscow last season (including a win away), but feel they will rely on the home leg here to eventually progress.

Dundalk (currently 12 points behind Cork and played 2 more games) currently lead Rosenborg in the Champions League. Irish football

Cork shortened to best price 8/11 on the DNB

Cork are 2.10 on Paddy

2.2 on bet365

I was only talking about the draw no bet odds for Cork