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Can it be done?

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posted on 31/10/11

Anyone that does not have City in the top spot needs to change that.

1) City
2) United
3) Liverpool/Chelsea/Spurs/Arsenal
4) Liverpool/Chelsea/Spurs/Arsenal
5) Liverpool/Spurs/Arsenal
6) Liverpool/Spurs/Arsenal

Chelsea will just about scrape top 4. It will be very tight for 3,4,5 and 6th. I can see no more than 5 points between 3rd and 6th beacuse all of the squads for those teams are pretty equal. If Parker gets injured for a long period of time (2/3 months) then I think Spurs will fall away.

18) Swansea
19) Blackburn
20) Wigan

posted on 31/10/11

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posted on 31/10/11

1) City
2) United
3) Liverpool/Chelsea/Spurs/Arsenal
4) Liverpool/Chelsea/Spurs/Arsenal
5) Liverpool/Spurs/Arsenal
6) Liverpool/Spurs/Arsenal
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the point here is to make a prediction, not get splinters in your bum from sitting on the fence.

posted on 31/10/11

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posted on 31/10/11

Top 4 Will be

1. City
2. United
3. Chelsea
4. Tottenham
5. Liverpool
6. Arsenal



Bottom 3...

18. Blackburn
19. Bolton
20. Wigan

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posted on 31/10/11

lets keep it on topic guys. I don't want to be searching through loads of waffle come may....

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posted on 31/10/11

1. United
2. City
3. Liverpool
4. Tottenham
5. Chelsea
6. Arsenal

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posted on 31/10/11

mine are
top 4
1 Man City
2 Man Utd
3 Chelsea
4 Spurs

bottom 3
18 Norwich
19 Blackburn
20 Swansea

posted on 31/10/11

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posted on 31/10/11

Take say the last 10 yrs of the PL.
Top 5 at beginning of Nov were. And at season end.

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Did this for the top 4 (not top 5), and in the last 10 seasons:

* The number of times the team who was top on the 31st Oct ended up winning the league? 4 times in the last 10 years.

* The team who were 2nd on the 31st Oct, ended up winning the league? This has happened twice in the last 10 years

* Only once did the teams in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th on the 31st Oct finish in those same positions at the end of the season.

* In the last 10 years, there have been 13 teams who didn't finish the season in the top four, despite being in the top four on the 31st Oct.

* The number of times the teams who were in the top four on the 31st Oct finished in the top four at the end of the season? Happened 28 times

* The team who was top on the 31st Oct and ended up not finishing in the top four? Has happened twice in the last 10 years (Liverpool in 02/03, and Villa in 01/02).

* The team who was second on the 31st Oct and ended up not finishing in the top four? Has happened twice in the last 10 years (Wigan in 05/06, and Leeds in 01/02)

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So, using these stats as a guide, There is a 40% chance that City will win the league. A 20% chance that United will win the league. A 20% chance that City will not finish in the top four. A 20% chance that United won't finish in the top four. There is a 10% chance that the current top four will finish in the same positions at the end of the season. A 20% chance that the top four at the end of the season will be the same 4 teams as it is now (although in a different order). And a 80% chance that a team not currently in the top four will end up in the top four come the end of the season.

So, based on those stats - playing the percentages - I calculate that the top four will most likely be:

1 City
2 United
3 Spurs
4 Chelsea

Oh bollcks, you mean I've got to do that for the relegation places as well

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