comment by son of quebec (U8127)
posted 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
Russell Brand is a Russian brand.
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Brand new🤣

comment by Hector (U3606)
posted 2 minutes ago
comment by Robbb Kanchelskis (U22716)
posted 53 minutes ago
comment by Oscar. #TeamFury. (U12980)
posted 3 minutes ago
comment by Irishred (U2539)
posted 40 seconds ago
comment by Oscar. #TeamFury. (U12980)
posted less than a minute ago
comment by Robbb Kanchelskis (U22716)
posted 1 minute ago
comment by Oscar. #TeamFury. (U12980)
posted 28 seconds ago
This is so harrowing man

Out of curiosity Why the fack does Biden not just jump on Air Force one and fly to Russia and go see Putin face to face and try sort this $hit out ffs guys meant to be the world leader. Macron flew out there why can’t he
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Because it’s clearly obvious nothing could have stopped this. Putin has gone insane and is now following some divine mission.
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I’m not saying it would of stopped it, I’m saying he should get on a plane right now and go see Putin face to face
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Putin would probably refuse to meet him
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Well then it just humiliates Putin even more and makes it harder to lie to his people and senior officials that the US haven’t been wanting to talk when the Fackin President flies over to try talk to him
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I’m admiring your ability to create a narrative out of nothing
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It's impressive.
I'm a nobody that follows events and even I know this has nothing to do with NATO or America and everything to do with Putin's ego driven legacy. Nobody is/was going to persuade the richest mob boss in history to change his mind. Doesn't stop the straw clutchers trying to lay the blame at everybody but the aggressive perpetrators feet. Decent effort though.
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Putin may well be the richest person in history

comment by thebluebellsarablue (U9292)
posted about a minute ago
comment by son of quebec (U8127)
posted 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
Russell Brand is a Russian brand.
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Brand new🤣
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Brand is off the deep end

He's ordered an invasion of another country, and it's everyone else's fault!!

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/feb/24/russia-putin-invasion-ukraine-robert-reich

This is mostly very good

Investec forecasting price cap to hit £3,000 in October.

Just been looking over their sums for a piece tomorrow - it's very plausible. £3,000 could be fecking generous from Ofgem, historically high gas prices are baked in for the duration of the year.

comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 29 seconds ago
Investec forecasting price cap to hit £3,000 in October.

Just been looking over their sums for a piece tomorrow - it's very plausible. £3,000 could be fecking generous from Ofgem, historically high gas prices are baked in for the duration of the year.
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I used to dabble in NG contracts and options. it's one of the most volatile instruments without conflict. Even without a dependency on Russian gas, it's gonna send spot and futures soaring. UK has large number of gas power stations.

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 1 minute ago
comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 29 seconds ago
Investec forecasting price cap to hit £3,000 in October.

Just been looking over their sums for a piece tomorrow - it's very plausible. £3,000 could be fecking generous from Ofgem, historically high gas prices are baked in for the duration of the year.
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I used to dabble in NG contracts and options. it's one of the most volatile instruments without conflict. Even without a dependency on Russian gas, it's gonna send spot and futures soaring. UK has large number of gas power stations.
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Indeed - it's grimly fascinating. No obvious solution to this in the short term either.

Only real consolation is Russia can't easily reroute supplies - and will still need to do business with Europe, but my estimations of that being a calming influence on geopolitics and thus markets were overestimates.

What made you dabble in NG contracts and options - hobby or job related? I am on the energy beat these days so have to bury my nose in it a lot.

comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 1 minute ago
What made you dabble in NG contracts and options - hobby or job related? I am on the energy beat these days so have to bury my nose in it a lot.
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Wrote first trading algos in 1999....When I left finance sector in late 2007, I could get back trading and equities were in the doldrums. So spent a few years trading options and warrants. I won some euro wide trading competitions on the back of the volatility of natural gas. Ran Monte Carlos and went Vegas or bust. I can't get insurance now for finance sector.

I just dabble for fun now. Been doing some TI algorithm stuff to help a crypto startup but it's just to keep a hand in.

There is no crystal ball. Or secret algorithm. I've long since realised that.

There are edges to be had, but it's on access to information.

Baltic dry index is a guilty fascination of mine because it's a non tradable instrument

Oh wow, thanks for telling me all this Admin, much appreciated insight

137 dead Ukrainian soldiers and civilians and it’s only been one day.

comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 16 seconds ago
Oh wow, thanks for telling me all this Admin, much appreciated insight
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I don't know if I have any insight. I've long realised that's the one thing I lack.

comment by Admin1 (U1)
posted 20 seconds ago
comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 16 seconds ago
Oh wow, thanks for telling me all this Admin, much appreciated insight
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I don't know if I have any insight. I've long realised that's the one thing I lack.
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I feel as though your experiences are informative enough to give me wider context, I enjoy reading them.

Btw - Goldman Sachs is pointing to Brent Crude backwardation, which looks ominous. I know its dropped back below $100 momentarily but the markets are so tight right now.

Nassim Taleb is a must read. Anything on complex multi variable dynamic systems.

I threw out my finance books, well 9/10ths that sought to predict.

I remember chatting to the authors of the motley Fool investment book, who devoted a chapter to the resilience of M&S in 1998 and the safety of the stock.

I spoke to them again in 2001 when M&S was in a mess due to cost cutting on garments. That chapter was a proper cringe incident for them.

I had a very leveraged short with plus500 during the Greece crisis. Shorting equivalent of £500,000 in Euros (I was leveraged) . Everything looked Great. I had studied the domain as much as I could. Then they froze my funds, as was their rights in Ts&Cs. I couldn't have predicted that. lol

The future of the serious profits will be driven by telegram chats and discord revelations etc. Not macro economic analysis. It's not how it should be but that's my hunch.

comment by bmcl1987 (U14177)
posted 2 hours, 41 minutes ago
comment by The goat did it (U10408)
posted 12 minutes ago
comment by bmcl1987 (U14177)
posted 9 minutes ago
comment by The goat did it (U10408)
posted 34 seconds ago
comment by bmcl1987 (U14177)
posted 25 seconds ago
comment by The goat did it (U10408)
posted 4 minutes ago
comment by bmcl1987 (U14177)
posted 9 minutes ago
comment by Black Hawk (U16342)
posted 1 hour, 34 minutes ago
Also, making statements like "don't go rogue with your arguments like a woman", only comes across as petty (and a little incelish)


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*a lot incelish

One for the filter button.
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The amount of sheite Peks has been given and insults thrown his way and you only spotlight him? Yeah, okay...
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Peks has been posting utter drivel for years. Any sheite he has had “thrown his way” is entirely as a result of his terrible posts.
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Upto you. I just don't see the point. 🤷‍♂️
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In filtering that poster? I’ve found there is nothing productive in I wanted to engage with a covid denying Putin sympathising antiziganist troll. If you derive value from doing so, up to you 🤷‍♂️
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What is a politics thread without differing views?
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I’m fine to disagree with people and engagement with them on that disagreement. I just won’t engage with rude people or trolls. Hence why I am happy to engage with you for example 😘
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Evening.

Sorry I did not get back to you on Russia being "left" wing query, but had to finish painting as another job awaits and they have a baby on the way, so deadline next Wednesday, then Rangers game etc🙂

I went back to discover where left and right were first used, and it was where people sat in the French parliament, Estates Regime, during the French Revolution, with those opposed to the old regime and monarchy on the left, while the old regime supporters and monarchists sat on the right, so one side sought change or revolution, and the other wanted the status quo and tradition.

I toyed with the notion of describing Russia as left wing authoritarian, but could not get Putin and Russian shoehorned into that category, but it does apply to se on the so called left, who deep down believe those on the right or conservatives are racist, sexist, homophobic etc, so that does not exactly fit the homophobic and nationalistic Vlad...not sure about Putin and racism or sexism?

I asked my wife if she thought Russia was left wing, and she quickly replied, no..they are right wing, pretending to be left wing, which does ring kinda true?

Definitions of the left throw up notions or goals of equality, rights, egalitarianism and so forth, so again, Putin and modern Russia do not fit this bill either, but right wing definitions of tradition, order, nationalism, hierarchy are applicable to Vlad and Russia today.

In modern terms, the left were/are aligned with civil rights, gay rights, feminism, climate change activism and now LGBT rights, so Putin is certainly not in the "new" left camp, in fact he opposes much of the above.

Coming from his old KGB "communist" background and harking back to Soviet empire certainties, Putin Russia was the sworn enemy of right wing capitalist America and UK, with Thatcher and Reagon "facing down" the USSR and "communism" ; yet today, Putin Russia wish to turn the clocks back to Warsaw pact days and less NATO and EU states near Russian borders, so the right wing capitalist west brought down the communist bloc, only for Moscow to move "right" or "far extreme left" depending on how you read the spectrum?

In short, Putin Russia is not left wing, but has far right tendencies, that could also be termed far or extreme left wing, imo.

To simply describe Putin, Russia (or China) as right wing is an over simplication or lazy way out, because some view Blair and Starmer as right wing, so to compare Putin or China with Blair or Starmer is madness.

Mon Rangers.

comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 42 minutes ago
Oh wow, thanks for telling me all this Admin, much appreciated insight
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I can't stress enough how little predictive insight I have.

comment by Insert random username (U10647)
posted 4 hours, 24 minutes ago
comment by bmcl1987 (U14177)
posted 1 minute ago
comment by Black Hawk (U16342)
posted 1 hour, 34 minutes ago
Also, making statements like "don't go rogue with your arguments like a woman", only comes across as petty (and a little incelish)


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*a lot incelish

One for the filter button.
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Did that myself.

I'm on a no bullllshiiit trip, three people in as many days.
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🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣

comment by Insert random username (U10647)
posted 1 hour, 32 minutes ago
He's ordered an invasion of another country, and it's everyone else's fault!!
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Said who?

Oh wait, you alleged Tory sanctions were to blame, for not being strong enough😉

Objective observers of the west, rest of the world and NATO point to an unwillingness to take Putin on or threaten to go into Ukraine to defend it, so although Putin is to blame, the west, NATO and rest of the world could have done more, as retired NATO generals and Ukrainian leaders stated repeatedly.

fwiw, I do not want UK or USA troops in Ukraine fighting Russians, but that does not mean I am correct or that NATO and the world has not done enough to take Putin on or down, because he has been at it for years and we let him, be it London, Paris or NY oligarchs money, Crimea, Poisoning, supplying Europe with gas, backing Assad etc etc.

We took our eyes off the ball or looked the other way.

comment by NPE - Puns are for Prats (U22712)
posted 3 hours, 48 minutes ago
comment by Insert random username (U10647)
posted 1 hour, 23 minutes ago
comment by Harry Ambrose (U11781)
posted 3 minutes ago
US President Biden reiterates that US forces "are not, and will not" be engaged in the conflict with Russia in Ukraine
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Then NATO and it's partnership scheme is a bust.
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You are suggesting a conflict between two nuclear powers.
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What could possibly go wrong?

comment by Black Hawk (U16342)
posted 5 hours, 19 minutes ago
comment by Hector (U3606)
posted less than a minute ago
Anyone watching what's going on and still blaming NATO is a gimp.
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Tbh though, a process of Finlandization in the Ukraine might have been preferable. It's not particularly good for the west but much more preferable to what has escalated.

The Finns kept their sovereignty, Russian historical and cultural ties but also paved their own path forward.
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Good post.

NATO and the west not defending Ukraine or telling Putin they would is the elephant in the room, if you are prepared to risk UK and American lives, of course.

By saying NATO would only defend NATO lines and not go in, that was a green light for mad Vlad, is a harsh reality, and to say that is being a gimp, lacks ......everything really.

NATO generals and Ukraine leaders are saying NATO and the world should intervene, but hey ho, they are gimps🤨

good too see Russians on the streets protesting aganest the invasion